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Tuesday, March 15, 2011

Brazil to lend cash to farmers for coffee futures

* Loans destined for option premiums, futures margin calls
* Funds would come from Funcafe subsidized credit system
* Margin payments on futures swell with coffee price rally

Brazil's government plans to begin offering loans to coffee farmers to cover the cost of using hedging instruments, including margin payments on futures and option premiums, a senior coffee official told Reuters.

The government will make a total of 50 million reais ($30 million) available in loans in an effort to increase access to these more sophisticated price protection mechanisms which have grown costlier to hold amid steep rally in coffee prices.

"This is to give some financial muscle to the producer to operate on the exchange. It's a way to democratize access to the hedging and futures market," said Thiago Masson, substitute director at the agriculture ministry's coffee department.

The cash may not be available until around mid-year, and must be approved by a monetary policy committee, but if supply constraints keep prices higher, the loans should enable more farmers to lock in the best rates they have received in years.

Masson said he expected the steep rally in prices which have more than doubled in nine months would boost demand for the financing. But he added that the new credit line in the world's top coffee producer had been planned long before that.

The Funcafe coffee credit fund will make the loans at the subsidized rate of 6.75 percent, the same charged for other loans made to cover growers' costs until harvest and sale.

Individual producers will be able to obtain the credit to hedge from local banks though some of the cash may be made available through coffee cooperatives.

"This (credit line) is good as it provides an incentive. Producers need to protect themselves against a fall in price. That's what is important right now in a scenario of volatility," said Luiz Claudio Caffagni, commodities services manager at Brazil's commodity exchange, the BM&FBovespa.

Caffagni said that at today's prices, the 50 million reais credit line, if spent solely on options premiums would be enough to hedge roughly 1.25 million bags. How far the cash would stretch for margin calls would depend on the market.

Recently in Brazil and elsewhere, some hedgers on both the producing and importing sides have been forced to abandon hedges as the rally in the coffee market causes margins payable on futures contracts to balloon. See analysis: 

Around 674,000 arabica coffee contracts were traded at the Sao Paulo-based BM&FBovespa exchange last year, up 4 percent from 2009.

Brazil produced 48.1 million 60-kg bags of coffee last year and the forthcoming off-year crop to be harvested from May is expected to turn out 41.9-44.7 million bags.

New York arabica coffee futures for May delivery were trading 0.8 percent lower on Monday at $2.7220 per lb, more than double what arabica was fetching in June last year.
 
Brazil's government has been looking into alternative ways to provide price protection for farmers, and is considering moving away from a system of minimum price guarantees to crop insurance that protects against price falls as well losses. It expects this would still be several years off however.**********

COFFEE FORECAST TODAY & Yesterday's MARKET CLOSE REVIEW


NEW YORK, Arabica coffee futures ended weak on Monday, as investors fled risky assets as the world's third-biggest consumer Japan coped with the aftermath of a devastating earthquake.

U.S. cocoa also finished lower, falling from the sessionhighs after trading firm for much of the session on concern about escalating violence in top grower 

Ivory Coast and uncertainty about the Ivorian export ban set to expire Tuesday.
The opening times for these markets have been temporarily delayed by one hour, through March 25, due to seasonal time changes.

COFFEE
* May arabica coffee futures closed down 1.10 cents  at $2.7330 per lb.
 
* The market settled lower for the third straight day after  hitting a 34-year high at $2.9665 per lb last week.
 
* Coffee futures fell along with the commodity complex, as  the third-biggest economy Japan coped with a nuclear crisis,  and the earthquake and tsunami aftermath - traders.
 
* The economic picture caused many to take money off the  table where riskier assets, such as commodities, were concerned  - traders.
 
* Brazil's government plans to begin offering loans to  coffee farmers to cover the cost of using hedging instruments,  including margin payments on futures and option premiums, a senior coffee official told Reuters.

COCOA
* Benchmark May cocoa futures fell $23 to settle at $3,389.
 
* May closed at a $30 premium to July , widening  slightly from $28 the previous session.
 
* Market was strong for most of the session on concern as  top grower Ivory Coast appeared on the brink of civil war and  on uncertainty about the scheduled end of the export ban there  - traders. 
 
* Gunfire and explosions broke out in an Abidjan stronghold  of Laurent Gbagbo, just outside the private house of his army  chief in Ivory Coast, witnesses and a security source said, but  state TV denied his residence had been attacked. 
 
* Prices turned lower, joining the weak commodity complex  down as investors fled risky assets - traders.
 
* Patchy rains mixed with hot weather last week in Ivory  Coast's cocoa regions provided good condition for better  quality and abundant mid-crop growth compared with last season.******