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Tuesday, March 1, 2011

Coffee and cocoa forecast for today & market cosing review 28 feb 2011


NEW YORK, Feb 28 (Reuters) - U.S. cocoa futures climbed to settle at  the highest level in 32 years on Monday, closing the month up 10 percent in  its biggest monthly gains in a year-and-a-half, as the conflict in top  grower Ivory Coast continued.
    Raw sugar finished strong for the third straight day. Arabica coffee  futures closed firm, remaining below last week's 34-year high and finishing  the month up for the ninth time in the past 10 months.
    RAW SUGAR
    * The most-active May raw sugar contract <SBK1> gained 0.71 cent or 2.5  percent to close at 29.45 cents per lb.
    * Second position <SBc2> finished the month down 6.5 percent, following  two straight months of gains.
    * March <SBH1> soared 0.99 cent to expire at 32.51 cents.
    * Brokers believe actual deliveries against the tape in March would  reach nearly 500,000 tonnes.
    * The market climbed after key May rebounded from the lows it hit last  week.
    * "I think the market should trade over 30 cents going forward. We are  also now waiting for the next crop from Brazil due out by the end of March  and early April," a dealer said.
        COFFEE
     * May arabica coffee futures <KCc2> gained 3.90 cents or 1.5 percent to  settle at $2.7170 per lb.
    * The contract finished the month up 10.2 percent, making the ninth  monthly gain in the past 10 months.
    * Market climbed in light dealings on speculative buying and a lack of  origin selling - traders.
   * Tight supplies continued to underpin prices, although the market was  viewed by some as overbought - traders.
    * Total open interest reached 123,088 lots on Feb. 25, the lowest level  since March 16, 2010 - ICE data.
    * March contract <KCH1> briefly moved to an intraday premium to May, indicating supply concerns, and closed up 4 cents at $2.7170 per lb, at par  to May - traders.
COCOA
    * Benchmark May cocoa futures <CCc2> jumped $56 or 1.5 percent to close  at $3,695 per tonne, the loftiest close since January 1979, after touching  a session high at $3,704.
    * Second position closed the month up 10 percent, the biggest monthly  surge since September 2009.
    * May premium to July <CCN1> closed at $61, narrowing from $66 on  Friday.
    * Total volume light at 8,959 lots, down 59 percent from the 30-day  average - preliminary Thomson Reuters data.
    * Market continued to climb on supply concerns as top grower Ivory  Coast appeared on the brink of civil war and an export ban prevented cocoa  from being shipped from ports - traders.
    * "Whoever's long, is staying long and whoever's looking for the short  isn't coming in." - Jimmy Tintle, analyst with Transworld Futures in  Florida.
    * The United Nations has accused Belarus of breaking an arms embargo  against Ivory Coast by delivering attack helicopters to Laurent Gbagbo, the  leader who has resisted three months of pressure to quit after a disputed  election. [ID:nLDE71R1LB]
    * Stocks of unexported cocoa sitting at ports in top grower Ivory Coast  reached 433,296 tonnes by Feb. 7. 
 source: https://portal.hpd.global.reuters.com/auth/login.aspx