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Thursday, March 3, 2011

Indonesia Feb coffee exports jump, stockpile drawn down


    * Exports nearly triple in Feb, exporters fullfil contracts
    * Weather affects quality, harvest uncertain
    * Early flowering prompted exporters not to sell forward  shipment
Indonesia's  robusta coffee shipments from the main growing areas in Sumatra  island nearly tripled last month versus a year ago as exporters  turned to inventories to fulfill old contracts, but  concerns  over harvests persisted.  
    Exporters shipped 17,504.98 tonnes in February, compared to  6,606.78 tonnes in the same month a year ago, trade data showed,  with rising prices in London futures also prompting more sales  from the world's second-largest robusta producer after Vietnam. 
    "Rallying coffee prices have prompted suppliers to sell  their coffee stocks," said Azis Chan Satib, a spokesman at the  Indonesia Coffee Association (AEKI).  
     Harvests in Sumatra usually start in March or April, but  farmers have been picking cherries since January as the  flowering season began earlier in some areas after the previous  crop ended last August. 
     As a result, many exporters refused to sell forward  shipment, preferring to sign nearby contracts to prevent  defaults. Exporters in the main growing province of Lampung  began to stock pile good-quality coffee last year, with beans  estimated at more than 100,000 tonnes in late 2010.  
    AEKI expects Indonesian coffee bean production to fall by 30  percent this year from an estimated 600,000 tonnes in 2010, as  rains in key producing areas damage cherries.
    Unseasonal heavy rains cut output of many commodities in  Indonesia last year or in early 2011, leaving coffee growers  unable to take advantage of a rally in coffee prices that took 
 London second-month robusta coffee futures <LRCc2> up 57 percent  in 2010 to end the year at $2,097 per tonne.
    EXTENDED RAINS 
    The prolonged rains resulted in Indonesian exports falling  28 percent last year. The country's exports last year fell to   247,750.34 tonnes, from 342,844.25 tonnes in 2009. 
    Robusta, used in instant coffee, mostly grows in Lampung,  Bengkulu, and South Sumatra provinces at the southern end of  Sumatra island and accounts for about 85 percent of Indonesia's  coffee  roduction. The rest is higher value, aromatic arabica  coffee. 
    Robusta has tracked rallies in premium arabica beans to  levels not seen in more than 30 years to stand at around 278  U.S. cents a pound. 
   The jump in February exports surprised some dealers, although  it also meant that inventories were being drawn down as the  current harvest yielded many black, and mouldy beans.  
    London's May robusta contract <LRCK1> fell $24 to $2,360 a  tonne in early trade on Wednesday.   
     "It is quite a surprise for me, because we tend to think  the coffee harvesting progress is not going well due to the  rainy season," said Ker Chung Yang, investment analyst at  Phillip Futures in Singapore. 
    "This is likely to weigh on the coffee prices, especially  robusta coffee, because this is a huge number. They (Indonesia)  are likely to export more at the moment because they want to  enjoy the higher coffee prices."  
    Indonesia competes with Vietnam, where stocks are falling  given a faster shipping pace so far in the October  2010/September 2011 harvesting season while the volume of  exportable beans may have fallen due to a higher ratio of  small-sized beans, traders said. 
    Robusta prices in Vietnam's domestic market jumped to a  record high in local currency terms on Tuesday to 46 million  dong ($2,205) a tonne, but exporters still found it difficult   to secure beans from growers who are holding back sales, traders said.
            Following are details of exports:   
    MONTH        2011             2010            Pct change  
                       (tonnes)           (tonnes)        (y/y)    
 January       17,589.10       6,740.40         +161       
 February     17,504.98       6,606.78         +165                
     
    Total        35,094.08       247,750.34       n/a   
source:  https://portal.hpd.global.reuters.com/