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Monday, March 28, 2011

NY Coffee, Cocoa & Sugar market close review for today, March 28, 2011

NEW YORK, March 28 (Reuters) - Raw sugar futures settled lower on Monday, pressured by a weak commodity complex and as Libyan rebels advanced toward an important military base, while arabica coffee also finished lower.

U.S. cocoa inched higher in thin dealings as dealers were uncertain whether the Ivorian export ban would be lifted this week. Volume was light in all three markets.

RAW SUGAR
* Benchmark May raw sugar contract dropped 0.81 cent  or 3 percent to finish at 27.05 cents per lb.
 

* Market pressured by speculative selling - brokers.
 
* Weakness in other commodity markets seen pushing the  market lower.
 
* "The risk pressure is coming off because (Libyan leader  Muammar) Gaddafi is losing ground," said Mike McDougall, senior  vice president of brokerage Newedge USA.
 
* Market looking forward to next set of estimates by  industry group Unica due out middle of this week.

COFFEE
* May arabica coffee futures fell 4.65 cents or 1.7  percent to settle at $2.6395 per lb.
 
* Market moved sideways after falling about 12 percent from  a 34-year high at $2.9665 per lb, basis second position,  earlier this month - traders.
 
* Weakening differentials on the cash market in Central  America and a decreased demand by roasters, as well as weak  commodity complex, weighed on market - traders.
 
* Volume light as recent volatility scared many out of the  market and attracted some to options, where open interest is on  the rise - traders.
 
* Speculative buying likely to increase if May reaches  $2.70 and speculative selling if gets below $2.60 - one  trader.
 
* Open interest for arabica coffee futures fell to the  lowest level in more than 15 months on March 25 -- ICE.
 
* Arabica prices will likely stay within a range of $2.50  to $2.70/lb in the coming years due to dynamic consumption, low  inventories and an uptick in output - Colombia's coffee  federation.

COCOA
* Key May cocoa futures rose $6 to settle at $3,248  a tonne.
 
* Market up mildly, despite lower commodity complex, on  increasing violence in top grower Ivory Coast and uncertainty  whether the country's export ban set to expire this week will  be extended - traders
 
* Heavy clashes broke out in the town of Duekoue, in a  cocoa-producing area of western Ivory Coast, between forces  loyal to incumbent Laurent Gbagbo and his rival in an election  dispute.
 
* "This could have some longer-term effect on the markets.  Farmers are worried about their lives right now not their  crops, and they're ignoring their crops." - Nick Gentile, chief  trading officer at Atlantic Capital Advisors in Jersey City.
 
* Climbing open interest shows commercials have been buying  as the market fell from the 32-year high at $3,775 per tonne  reached March 4 - traders.-----